Working Paper
Exchange Rates and Outward Foreign Direct Investment
The paper investigates the impact of exchange rates on US foreign direct investment (FDI) flows to a sample of 16 emerging market countries using annual panel data for the period 1990-2002. Three separate exchange rate effects are considered: the...
Working Paper
Global macroeconomic cooperation and the exchange rate system
This paper looks at historical and current frameworks to manage macroeconomic linkages among economies. It considers first the evolving nature of global payments imbalances. It then focuses on the mechanisms of macroeconomic dialogue and cooperation...
Working Paper
Exchange Rates and Competition for FDI
This paper analyses the role of exchange rates in the competition for FDI. Based on the assumption that two countries compete for FDI from the same source country, the paper shows explicitly that the relative FDI of one country is determined by the...
Working Paper
What Accounts for China's Trade Balance Dynamics?
This paper proposes a structural VAR model which extends the frameworks of Hoffmaister and Roldós (2001) and Prasad (1999). The model is then used to analyse the sources of China’s trade balance fluctuations in the period of 1985–2000. Efforts are...
Working Paper
The Effects of (within and with EU) Regional Integration
We analyse two potential effects arising from regional (and with EU) integration—increased quality of institutions (including the quality of financial institutions) and, economic policies and reduced multilateral exchange rate volatility—in a...
Working Paper
Exchange Rate Regimes and Trade
This paper revisits the link between exchange rate regimes and trade in the context of Africa’s exchange rate arrangements. Applying an augmented gravity model that includes measures of currency unions and pegged regimes, the paper compares Africa’s...
Working Paper
The Costs and Benefits Analysis of CFA Membership
The paper determines an analytical framework defining the choice of an optimal exchange rate regime for a typical CFA country. The policymakers behave strategically to decide to adopt alternative exchange rate regime by minimizing their loss function...
Journal Special Issue
Impact of the Liberalization of the Exchange Rate and Financial Markets in Sub-Saharan Africa
This special issue of the Journal of International Development presents the results of a study initiated two years ago by UNU/WIDER on `The impact of the liberalization of the exchange rate and financial markets in sub-Saharan Africa'. The project...
Working Paper
Dealing with Capital Inflows
We have now witnessed more than half a decade of relatively heavy capital inflows to a large group of highly heterogeneous developing countries and economies in transition in Asia, Eastern Europe, the Former Soviet Union, Latin America, and parts of...
Working Paper
The Banking System and Monetary Aggregates Following Financial Sector Reforms
This paper discusses the process, problems and impacts of the financial sector reform in Indonesia, particularly since the late 1980s. The reform has encouraged a surge in private sector capital inflows to supplement the already high domestic savings...
Working Paper
The Liberalization of Foreign Exchange Markets and Economic Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa
This paper analyses the rationale of interventions in foreign exchange markets in Sub- Saharan Africa and reviews exchange rate theory and balance of payments management and its application to African countries. It analyses the liberalization of...
Working Paper
Real Exchange Rate Policy and Non-Traditional Exports in Developing Countries
In this paper I estimate a non-traditional export performance equation for a panel of 60 developing countries. As an input to the export model, I also estimate a panel regression model of the real exchange rate (RER) for the same countries. The RER...
Working Paper
Dual Exchange Markets and Intervention
It is argued that the theoretical literature on dual exchange markets has completely neglected the form of central bank intervention emphasized by the "classics". They advocated neutral intervention where the central bank sells in the capital market...
Working Paper
Capital Flows, Exchange Rate Regime, and Macroeconomic Performance in Mexico
This paper analyzes the short-term effects of foreign capital flows on aggregate demand in Mexico: their magnitude, transmission channels, and the possible influence of the country’s choice of exchange rate regime. The study is motivated by the...
Working Paper
The Currency composition of Foreign Exchange Reserves
The management of international reserves remains one of the understudied aspects of the international monetary system. There are now a number of reasons why this should change. On the supply side of the market there is the advent of the euro...