Economic complexity and structural transformation: the case of Mozambique

On 18 March 2021, Bjørn Bo Sørensen and Christian Estmann Hansen, researchers at the University of Copenhagen, discuss their latest research on structural transformation in Mozambique. 

The presentation is based on the working paper ‘Economic complexity and structural transformation: the case of Mozambique’ (in English; soon to be published in Portuguese). 

The presentation will be in English. 

To join the seminar and take part in the discussion, register here. By registering, you agree to be added to UNU-WIDER’s customer relationship management system under the Institute’s terms and conditions (Privacy statement and Disclaimer). 

Please note that the presentations are recorded. The presentation slides and the recording will be shared with the seminar participants soon after the event. 

About the research 

This paper proposes a methodological framework for identifying attractive product sectors and export markets in a location. It applies the framework to guide industrial policy in Mozambique – a country with one of the world’s least complex economies. In a supply-side analysis, the researchers first used the economic complexity methodology to identify product sectors that are important for structural transformation. In a demand-side analysis, they then used gravity models to rank the trade potential of these target products across different markets. The paper identifies unexploited opportunities in machinery, vehicles, and transport equipment. Additionally, it argues that Mozambique’s largest trade partners show a high potential for importing its target products. 

About the IGM Seminar Series  

The online IGM Seminar Series provides a space to discuss research themes with a focus on the challenges of promoting inclusive growth in Mozambique at a time of overlapping crises: the economic and financial crisis of hidden debt, the climate crisis, and the global health crisis.