Macro-fiscal analysis and policy modelling

On 22 March, the United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU-WIDER) and the National Treasury of South Africa will host a workshop as part of the Southern Africa - Towards Inclusive Economic Development (SA-TIED) programme's Macro-fiscal analysis and policy modelling work stream.

The workshop features presentations of near-final drafts of research papers on various topics related to macro-fiscal analysis and policy modelling, including climate change and the efficiency of public expenditure, fiscal multipliers, fiscal anchors, the Phillips curve, and the media's inflation message. Researchers have the opportunity to receive feedback on their work to finalize their papers. Previous workshops have been insightful and productive sessions, providing an excellent platform for knowledge sharing and collaboration among the participating researchers. The research presented is aimed at contributing to the ongoing efforts towards inclusive economic development in Southern Africa.

Please note that this is a closed event, and only invited researchers will be in attendance.

Programme

Workshop Chair: Philippe Burger | Non-Resident Senior Research Fellow, UNU-WIDER

11:00 – 11:15 -  Welcome and introductions

Philippe Burger

11:15 –11:45 - Fiscal anchors and sustainable fiscal policymaking 
Krige Siebrits | Stellenbosch University

11:45 –12:15 - Fiscal multipliers in South Africa – Large and time varying parameter BVAR approaches 
Gideon Du Rand | Stellenbosch University

12:15 –13:00 -Lunch Break

13:00–13:30 - How Does Climate Change Affect the Public Expenditures Efficiency in South Africa? Evident from Stochastic Frontier Model 
Yacouba Coulibaly | Orleans Economics Laboratory

13:30 –14:00 - Exploring the network of individuals that influence the media's inflation message in South Africa 
Katrien Smuts | Stellenbosch University

14:15–14:30 - Break

14:30–15:00 - Uncovering the Phillips curve with deep learning methods 
Dawie van Lill | Stellenbosch University

15:00–15:30 - Can fiscal consolidation balance growth with stability in South Africa? 
Abhishek Kumar | University of Southampton

15:30–15:45 - Concluding remarks