Plenary session
Inequality of opportunity and mobility in Latin America
How persistent across generations are the high levels of inequality observed in Latin America? To answer this question, we review the empirical literature on intergenerational mobility and inequality of opportunity for the region, summarizing results for both income and educational outcomes. Whereas the income mobility literature is hampered by a paucity of representative datasets containing linked information on parents and children, the inequality of opportunity approach – which relies on other inherited and pre-determined circumstance variables – has suffered from arbitrariness in the choice of population partitions. Two new data-driven approaches – one aligned with the ex-ante and the other with the ex-post conception of inequality of opportunity – are introduced to address this shortcoming. They yield a set of new inequality of opportunity estimates for twenty-seven surveys covering nine Latin American countries over various years between 1994 and 2017. In most cases, more than half of the current generation’s inequality is inherited from the past – with a range between 40% and 63%. The conditional inference and transformation trees used to produce those estimates shed light on the different structures of unequal opportunity across countries, and are of intrinsic interest themselves.