Working Paper
Output and Price Fluctuations in China's Reform Years
The Chinese economy underwent cyclical fluctuations in growth and inflation in the reform period. Contrasting views exist on the role of money in such fluctuations. This paper assesses these views employing structural VEC models based on the exchange...
Working Paper
Modelling Macroeconomic Linkages in a Monetary Union
We construct a structural macroeconometric model for member states of the West African Economic and Monetary Union. Fitting this model to annual and quarterly time series data allows us to identify the channels through which macroeconomic innovation...
Working Paper
The Characteristics of Macroeconomic Shocks in the CFA Franc Zone
In this paper we fit a VECM in output and prices to data from ten countries of the CFA Franc Zone. This model allows for various cross-country interactions in both the short run and the long run. The VECM parameters are used to estimate persistence...
Working Paper
A Macroeconomic Model of a Developing Country Endowed with a Natural Resource
The present paper presents a short-run theoretical macroeconomic model of the type suggested in Sachs (1996), attempting to differentiate economic development in East Asia with Latin America. Latin America, when compared to East Asia is said to...
Working Paper
Oil Driven Macroeconometric Model of Kuwait
Kuwait is a well endowed, small and open economy. In this economy the Government is the owner of the bulk of the wealth. Its wealth comes basically from underground oil and oil-accumulated assets. Since there is virtually no tax, the government...
Working Paper
Impact of Foreign Aid on Economic Growth in Sierra Leone
This paper examines the impact of foreign aid on economic growth in Sierra Leone, a country where an empirical econometric study on aid effectiveness is yet to exist. Using a triangulation of approaches involving the ARDL bounds test approach and the...
Working Paper
The Long-Run Impact of Foreign Aid in 36 African Countries
Studies of aid effectiveness abound in the literature, often with opposing conclusions. Since most time-series studies use data from the exact same publicly available data bases, our claim here is that such differences in results must be due to the...
Journal Article
The Long-Run Impact of Foreign Aid in 36 African Countries
The authors comprehensively analyse the long-run effect of foreign aid (ODA) on key macroeconomic variables in 36 sub-Saharan African countries from the mid-1960s to 2007, using a well-specified co-integrated VAR model as statistical benchmark...
About
SA-TIED work stream 3: Macroeconomic modelling for policy formulation
National Treasury (NT) is central to macroeconomic policy in South Africa and holds a key role in maintaining macroeconomic stability. This work stream is designed to further strengthen the capacity of NT, alongside other actors in the region, and to...
Working Paper
Gender and Informal Sector Analysis in India
The main purpose of this paper is to look at the incorporation of gender and the informal sector within a general equilibrium framework for India. Moreover, we clarify some important links between a gender aware informal sector based social...
Research Brief
Aid and Economic Growth
Phillip Michael Kargbo's UNU-WIDER working paper, 'Impact of Foreign Aid on Economic Growth in Sierra Leone: Empirical Analysis' examines the impact of foreign aid on growth in Sierra Leone using a variety of econometric approaches. The paper finds...