Journal Article
Development programs, security, and violence reduction
India has employed a variety of military, political and economic measures to combat the long running insurgency in Kashmir with little evidence on what contributes to stability in the region. This paper uses a variety of tests to detect structural...
Working Paper
An exploration of the association between fuel subsidies and fuel riots
Between 2005 and 2018, 41 countries had at least one riot directly associated with popular demand for fuel. We make use of a new international dataset on fuel riots to explore the effects of fuel prices and price regimes on fuel riots. In line with...
Blog
Our project on the institutional legacies of violent conflict
One of the most critical challenges in international development today is to understand how best to support peace, security, economic recovery, and...
Blog
Why do we see boom-and-bust growth in fragile and conflict-affected states?
One of the most pressing challenges in development policy is to bring about rapid, sustained, and inclusive growth in developing countries. Apart from...
Working Paper
Secession and social polarization
Does secessionism lead to social polarization? Despite much research on independence movements, their relationship to polarization, a key mechanism theorized as increasing the chances of violent conflict, remains less understood. We argue that...
Working Paper
The legacy of conflict: aggregate evidence from Sierra Leone
This paper studies the general equilibrium impact of civil war in Sierra Leone. I first use an instrumental variable (IV) strategy and geographic conflict variation to estimate reduced-form effects. I show that civil war leads to affected areas...
Blog
Nobel Peace Prize acknowledges link between preventing hunger and promoting peace
Professor Patricia Justino is a leading expert on the links between political violence and economic development. Her work has greatly expanded...
Working Paper
Aid targeting to fragile and conflict-affected states and implications for aid effectiveness
While significant amounts of foreign aid have been allocated to the group of so-called fragile and conflict-affected states in recent years, it is not clear whether that aid is targeted to where it is most needed. This paper extends recent work by...
Working Paper
Aid and fragile states
Aid is still an important feature of the development landscape. Fragile states, in particular, have the greatest development needs but due to their poor governance they are the least likely countries to use aid effectively to meet their development...
Blog
What are foresight methods and how can they secure our common futures?
by
Aicha Robei
May 2024
Future tools and foresight thinking are crucial instruments to improve decision-making for a common future. As a Youth Foresight Fellow with UNICEF, I...
Working Paper
Aid and violence reduction
Although the provision of security to all their citizens is a state’s fundamental duty, over 50 countries experienced armed conflict in 2021. The international development community has identified armed conflict as an impediment to development and...
Working Paper
Frontier rule and conflict
We examine whether frontier rule, which disallows frontier residents from a recourse to formal institutions of conflict management and disproportionately empowers tribal elites, provides a more fragile basis for maintaining social order in the face...
Book
Development Assistance for Peacebuilding
This is an open access title available under the terms of a CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 licence. It is free to read at www.tandfebooks.com and offered as a free PDF download from Taylor & Francis Group and selected open access locations. Development assistance...
Working Paper
Do fences make good neighbours?
India has employed a variety of military, political, and economic measures to combat the long running insurgency in Kashmir with little evidence on what contributes to stability in the region. This paper uses a variety of tests to detect structural...
Journal Article
Early life shocks and mental health
This paper provides causal evidence on early-life exposure to war on mental health status in adulthood. Using an instrumental variable strategy, the evidence indicates that early-life exposure to bombing during the American war in Vietnam has long...
Working Paper
Early life shocks and mental health
This paper provides causal evidence on early-life exposure to war on mental health status in adulthood. Using an instrumental variable strategy, the evidence indicates that early-life exposure to bombing during the American war in Vietnam has long...
Working Paper
Conflict and development
We survey selected parts of the growing literature on the microeconomics of violent conflict, identifying where academic research has started to establish stylized facts and where methodological and knowledge gaps remain. We focus our review on the...
Journal Article
The economic effects of a counterinsurgency policy in India
Using the synthetic control method, we analyze the economic effects of a unique counterinsurgency response to the Naxalite insurgency in India. Of all the states affected by Naxalite violence, only one state, Andhra Pradesh, raised a specially...
Blog
Missing school years for girls: The case of the Assam insurgency
by
Prakarsh Singh
March 2017
Girls in India face many challenges. From the moment they are conceived, they are less likely to be born as compared to boys. This presence of...
Workshop
UNU-WIDER at UN Youth of Finland's Youth Peace Week: Young voices in peace research
UNU-WIDER takes part in UN Youth of Finland's Youth Peace Week 21 September 2023. In partnership with UN Youth of Finland and Saferglobe, UNU-WIDER organizes Young voices in peace research.
Thu, 21 September 2023
Huolintatalo,
Pasilankatu 2, 00101,
Helsinki,
Finland
Past event
Seminar
Aid effectiveness in fragile states
UNU-WIDER researchers offer a seminar on aid effectiveness in fragile states to an audience of Swedish development officials and foreign officers. The seminar is organized by the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA).
Tue, 23 May 2023
Online,
Sweden
Past event
Panel discussion
Policy panel on war and reconstruction in Ukraine
Tue, 9 May 2023
The crypt of Helsinki Cathedral,
Kirkkokatu 18,
Helsinki,
Finland
Past event
Workshop
Research workshop on war and reconstruction in Ukraine
From 8–9 May 2023, UNU-WIDER holds a research workshop bringing together an international group of researchers with expertise in conflict and peacebuilding to discuss new research that can support policymakers’ discussions on the stabilization...
Mon, 8 May 2023
–
Tue, 9 May 2023
UNU-WIDER,
Katajanokanlaituri 6 B,
Helsinki,
Finland
Past event
Project workshop
Workshop on Institutional legacies of violent conflict
Thu, 12 May 2022
–
Fri, 13 May 2022
UNU-WIDER,
Katajanokanlaituri 6b,
Helsinki,
Finland
Past event
Panel discussion
UNU-WIDER at ISA 2022 Annual Convention
UNU-WIDER Senior Research Fellow Patricia Justino and Research Associate Rute Martins Caeiro join in a virtual panel discussion Trust and Governance in Unstable Democracies on 29 March 2022 14:00 - 15:30 (UTC-5) as part of the International Studies...
Tue, 29 March 2022
Online,
Nashville,
United States
Past event
Presentation
UNU-WIDER at the World Village Festival 2022
Sun, 29 May 2022
Market Square,
Helsinki,
Finland
Past event
In the media
UNU-WIDER experts and the WIDER Development Conference featured in the media
Kalle Hirvonen, Research Fellow at UNU-WIDER, was interviewed by YLE for a news article published on 10 March 2022 on the effects of the Ukraine war on global food security. ‘The war in Ukraine is causing a major supply shock to the world food market...
Working Paper
Civic legacies of wartime governance
In conflict zones around the world, both state and non-state actors deliver governance at local levels. This paper explores the long-term impact of individual exposure to ‘wartime governance’ on social and political behaviour. We operationalize...
Blog
Superpowers, super-spoilers, and hybrid warfare: What the new Cold War means for global cooperation
by
Erica Gaston
March 2022
Last week we woke up to a conflict that had echoes of the Second World War, the Cold War, and the last two decades of hybrid conflict all mixed into...
Working Paper
Wartime governance and state-building trajectories in post-conflict societies
To date, there is limited understanding about the consequences of wartime dynamics for post-war state-building processes. This paper explores one such dynamics—the forms of governance exercised by armed groups during wartime—and proposes a...
Working Paper
Mothers at peace: post-conflict fertility and United Nations peacekeeping
Armed conflict can shape reproductive behaviour as high child mortality and a lack of health services lead to higher fertility rates. Yet women often postpone childbearing in expectation of better times. Given the theoretical ambiguity, the extant...
Working Paper
Understanding Somalia’s social contract and state-building efforts
Building on a World Bank regional study in Africa aiming at measuring social contracts concepts and within the framework of reflecting on future donor interventions, this paper applies social contracts measurement and complements with qualitative...
Working Paper
The legacy of church–state conflict
A burgeoning literature on repression against civilians argues that exposure to violence changes victims’ identities by strengthening attachment to the in-group and creates downstream effects for political and social behaviour that persist across...
Journal Article
An exploration of the association between fuel subsidies and fuel riots
Between 2005 and 2018, 41 countries had at least one riot directly associated with popular demand for fuel. We make use of a new international dataset on fuel riots to explore the effects of fuel prices and price regimes on fuel riots. In line with...
Working Paper
The legacies of armed conflict: insights from stayees and returning forced migrants
How does conflict, displacement, and return shape trust, reconciliation, and community engagement? And what is the relative impact of exposure to violence on these indicators? In this paper we explore these questions by focusing on the legacies of...
Blog
The conflict in Ukraine - the role of civilians
While there is much to discuss about the geopolitics of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, let's not forget the men, women and children of Ukraine who...
Blog
How will the Russia-Ukraine war be fought?: External support and insurgency tactics
by
Kit Rickard
March 2022
The Ukrainian state, personified by its President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, has been heroic and has surprised many by its 'stiff resistance'. However...
Working Paper
The loser’s long curse: electoral consequences of a class conflict
This paper presents evidence of political legacies of exposure to a violent class conflict over 100 years. We revisit the Finnish Civil War of 1918 and first trace out the impact of local conflict exposure on electoral outcomes over a quarter-century...
Working Paper
Ethnic inequality, the federal character principle, and the reform of Nigeria’s presidential federalism
The federal character principle is Nigeria’s primary formula for mitigating horizontal inequality and conflict in this chronically fractured society. Designed to guarantee inter-group inclusion in the conduct and composition of governmental...
Working Paper
Don’t rock the boat? Fears of conflict and support for protest in Iraq and beyond
Why do people support—or refrain from supporting—nonviolent protests for political change? The literature offers different answers to this question, but one variable that has received little attention is fears of protest unleashing violent conflict...
Working Paper
Frontier governmentality
We examine whether frontier rule, which disallows frontier residents from recourse to formal institutions of conflict management and disproportionately empowers tribal elites, provides a more fragile basis for maintaining social order in the face of...
Working Paper
Conflict, taxation, and development
The impact of conflict on taxation and development has long been debated. Most studies suggest that conflict will have a depressive effect on state tax collection, negatively impacting economic growth and development. After reviewing the existing...
Working Paper
Ethnic conflict: the role of ethnic representation
We investigate the impact of the political representation of minority groups on the incidence of ethnic conflict in India. We code data on Hindu-Muslim violence and Muslim political representation in India and leverage quasi-random variation in...
Blog
Four global problems that will be aggravated by the UK’s recent cuts to international aid
UK economic forecasts have improved markedly since the September 2022 mini-budget. The economic recession may now be more shallow and public borrowing...
Working Paper
The violent legacy of fascism
We still have limited knowledge about the long-term effects of fascism on European democracies. European countries experienced cycles of violence between the 1960s and 1980s. Can such violence be explained by legacies of mobilization during fascism...
Working Paper
Windows of peace: the effect of ceasefires on economic recovery
While much of the literature studies causes and consequences of war, the reverberations of peace have rarely been studied. By focusing on the universe of ceasefire agreements since 1993, we study the causal effect of peace on economic recovery using...
Working Paper
Forced migration, aid effectiveness, and the humanitarian–development nexus
Bridging the gap between humanitarian assistance and development cooperation has been a contentious issue in academia and development practice for decades. Drawing on an evaluation of Germany’s ‘Partnership for Prospects’ initiative, this paper...
Blog
Quantifying the economic impact of conflict traps
by
Joan Margalef
May 2024
As we look towards securing a brighter future for coming generations, we must address the complex challenges that threaten sustainable development and...
Presentation
Tillman Hönig presents at the European Meeting of the Urban Economics Association
Tillman Hönig, Research Associate at UNU-WIDER, will be presenting his ongong research The Legacy of Conflict: Aggregate Evidence from Sierra Leone at the 10th European Meeting of the Urban Economics Association on 30 April 2021, 2pm CEST. His paper...
Fri, 30 April 2021
Online,
Denmark
Past event
Panel discussion
How to get inclusive growth started in fragile contexts
Wed, 9 June 2021
Online,
Helsinki,
Finland
Past event
Presentation
Patricia Justino presenting on COVID-19 and conflict dynamics at FIIA webinar
Patricia Justino will present on COVID-19 and conflict dynamics at an online event organised by the Finnish Institute of International Affairs (FIIA) on 27 May 2021. The event, Covid-19 effects on peace and conflict dynamics – Implications for the EU...
Thu, 27 May 2021
Online,
Helsinki,
Finland
Past event
Presentation
Patricia Justino briefs Swedish aid agency on aid in autocracies and fragile countries
On 4 February 2020, UNU-WIDER's Senior Research Fellow Patricia Justino will be giving a presentation at an event organised by Sweden’s government agency for development cooperation Sida as part of their Department for Africa’s planning days. The...
Thu, 4 February 2021
Online,
Stockholm,
Sweden
Past event
Working Paper
Tax revenue mobilization in conflict-affected developing countries
How does conflict affect tax revenue mobilization? This paper uses a newly updated dataset to explore longitudinal trends of tax revenue mobilization prior to, during, and after conflict periods in a selection of conflict-affected states since 1980...